Sorry Mr. Wilcox over at Betanews.com, I disagree. I don’t know how you can suggest that the iPhone won’t win, or can’t win the smart device war:
“Put another way: iPhone is to Android — and somewhat Symbian OS — handsets as Macintosh was to the DOS/Windows PC in the 1980s and 1990s. The Mac’s rocky start in 1984-85 gave way to great success because of several killer applications, with desktop publishing being among the most important. But by the mid 1990s, Windows PCs pushed down Mac market share. The iPhone is poised to track similarly. Gartner predicts that Android OS shipments will exceed iPhone OS by 2012 (see chart). I’m a believer.”
You are comparing Apples and oranges and not taking into account the anticompetitive forces leveraged against Apple in the OS battle, nor the fact that Apple has focused on both Hardware AND software to create a single source of quality control while Microsoft focused on software that most admit is overwhelmed by bugs and has taken until Windows 7 to create something actually worthwhile (trust me, as the commercial says) not to mention a clone of everything Apple. It is such a simplistic view of competition and the values, vision, and goals of a company it is hard to believe the story is nothing more than a high quality troll post in the newsgroups of yesteryear.
With a statement like:
“Such statement will send some iPhone fans howling — perhaps appropriately so with the full moon days passed and Halloween days away.
”
It certainly looks like this is a troll post, meant to work some people up, while others will take a measured look at the evidence. I’m not sure why you would bother taking a stab at people who appreciate a particular product or have product loyalty, something that was once valued in the US.
You fail to take into account that the iPhone platform has only been in existence since June of 2007. Meanwhile the Blackberry has been around for 10 and is bolstered by government adoption primarily because of the low price and the fact people in that demographic desire a keyboard. I think the analysis of the Symbian OS includes the entire body of Symbian smart devices, and that body has been in existence since 1980. That is tough marketing to overcome, product loyalty is tough to overpower even with a revolutionary device, and people are loathe to give up physical keyboards, a trend that is falling away. So, lets put this in perspective…
Symbian – 29 Years to acquire 48% of the market (and dropping)
Blackberry – 10 Years to acquire 14% of the market (and dropping)
iPhone – 2.5 Years to acquire 14% of the market (and growing)
I’m going to take the Gartner analysis with a grain of salt. And again, just like the PC-MAC war that keeps being referred to; Apple has never sought out to be the top company, but they do want to be the best company. Providing the highest quality single source computing solution, and they’ve priced their products adequately enough to return a profit on its products and become a robust company meeting its internal mission statement.
They’ll continue to grow, and remain the highest quality, and I’m willing to bet they are very accepting of their market position. And that is all win.
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