Election 2020 – South Carolina Predictions by County

As predictions go, South Carolina is one of those that have people scratching their heads. Although my predictions existed some time ago, I’m finally getting time to post them and it happens that Lindsey Graham ended up in a close match with Jaime Harrison and that is just representative of the shifting sands of societal alignment with political parties. Only about half of the population voted for either of the two main presidential candidates in 2016, but things have been shifting and South Carolina may be in for a political realignment by November 3rd. I’ve ended up predicting that South Carolina will go Blue in 2020 with counties such as Anderson remaining Red, but its numbers declining and Counties like Florence, Darlington, and even McCormick going Blue. There are still others, like Lancaster and even Spartanburg that were firmly in the Red switching sides slowly. That said, here are the South Carolina Predictions by County:

South Carolina CountiesAlignmentConfidence
.Abbeville County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Aiken County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Allendale County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Anderson County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Bamberg County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Barnwell County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Beaufort County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Berkeley County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Calhoun County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Charleston County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Cherokee County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Chester County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Chesterfield County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Clarendon County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Colleton County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Darlington County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Dillon County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Dorchester County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Edgefield County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Fairfield County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Florence County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Georgetown County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Greenville County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Greenwood County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Hampton County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Horry County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Jasper County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Kershaw County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Lancaster County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Laurens County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Lee County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Lexington County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Marion County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Marlboro County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.McCormick County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Newberry County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Oconee County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Orangeburg County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Pickens County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Richland County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.Saluda County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Spartanburg County, South CarolinaRedMedium
.Sumter County, South CarolinaBlueLow
.Union County, South CarolinaRedLow
.Williamsburg County, South CarolinaBlueMedium
.York County, South CarolinaRedLow

We will see what the final results say in regards to the analysis, but I can certainly say that the polarizing politics of the last few elections have enhanced the key mechanic in my analysis. While issues used to be those around jobs, the environment, and those things that a plethora of pockets of people undertake to solve various social injustices; now we have major social issues coming to bear on society as a whole. Incoming inequality is greater than any time in the last 80 years, racial inequality is being made aware again as some assumed it was solved in the 70’s, no wait, the 80’s, no wait, post 2000… I’m wrong again, things were fixed in the 2010 decade. Right? There are many other elements that are part of the public discourse, but even those are not factors in my analysis. They are in my qualification statements when I post my perception of the data and how it riffs off of the societal machinations but what remains is that underlying current that has been impacting elections time and time again since adults had the ability to vote. Lets see at the end of the year how this played out in my predictions.

James Hatch

I talk about business, technology, and society. I create new products and services. That's the elevator pitch. Deeper than that, I research myriad topics for my consultancy. Academically speaking; I have received a Masters in Digital Forensics and Cyber Investigation, Masters in Information Technology with a focus on Information Security, a Masters in Business Administration with a focus on Marketing, a Bachelors in Entrepreneurism and Strategic Management, Associates in Business Administration, and Associates in Sociology. I'm also a Professor and Program Manager of Computer Science and Cybersecurity at the local Community College. Oh... I'm a gamer and streamer when I get a chance.

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