Election 2020 – Ohio Predictions by County

Ohio, the fabled “Swing State” since, apparently, time immemorial. Additionally coined the bellwether in that it signals who the winner will be since voting has taken place. This swing state balance continues in 2020, but social issues, in my analysis, are swinging away from Republican alignment and more into the Democrat side. Much of the realignment had already been made in 2016, but the weight of the Republican contingent had not witnessed what was to come over the next 4 years. Again, this is my interpretation of the information I’ve observed. Some align, even to this day to the ideology of Republican or Democrat without paying attention to the facts of the current situation. That changes when there is social unrest and events play out overtly. Again, I do not take into account historical aspects unless there is something puzzling in my core analysis. When something doesn’t align on its face value, I have to dig. You’ll notice that my assessment has Democrat counties, but those I’ve marked Blue are typically marked Low or Medium. Although many votes are blue in these blue counties, the brunt of Ohio is Red and is deeper red than blue. Make sense? The overwhelming Red in a state, unless it captures key counties, will not swing a state Red unless, like Nebraska in 2016, the Electoral vote is all or nothing. It is my analysis that Nebraska should have handed 2 votes to the Democrat candidate. When I made my analysis a few months ago, Ohio was still up in the air, but the trend was already written over the last four years. That trend suggested it would go Blue and currently it is continuing that trend. As I mention in states that are questionable to other analysts, unless something catastrophic happens, Ohio will remain Blue for the foreseeable future. Below is the by-county breakout of my assessment:

Ohio CountiesAlignmentConfidence
.Adams County, OhioRedMedium
.Allen County, OhioRedMedium
.Ashland County, OhioRedMedium
.Ashtabula County, OhioRedMedium
.Athens County, OhioBlueLow
.Auglaize County, OhioRedMedium
.Belmont County, OhioRedMedium
.Brown County, OhioRedMedium
.Butler County, OhioRedMedium
.Carroll County, OhioRedMedium
.Champaign County, OhioRedMedium
.Clark County, OhioRedLow
.Clermont County, OhioRedMedium
.Clinton County, OhioRedMedium
.Columbiana County, OhioRedMedium
.Coshocton County, OhioRedMedium
.Crawford County, OhioRedMedium
.Cuyahoga County, OhioBlueMedium
.Darke County, OhioRedMedium
.Defiance County, OhioRedMedium
.Delaware County, OhioRedLow
.Erie County, OhioRedLow
.Fairfield County, OhioRedMedium
.Fayette County, OhioRedMedium
.Franklin County, OhioBlueMedium
.Fulton County, OhioRedMedium
.Gallia County, OhioRedMedium
.Geauga County, OhioRedMedium
.Greene County, OhioRedLow
.Guernsey County, OhioRedMedium
.Hamilton County, OhioBlueLow
.Hancock County, OhioRedMedium
.Hardin County, OhioRedMedium
.Harrison County, OhioRedMedium
.Henry County, OhioRedMedium
.Highland County, OhioRedMedium
.Hocking County, OhioRedMedium
.Holmes County, OhioRedMedium
.Huron County, OhioRedMedium
.Jackson County, OhioRedMedium
.Jefferson County, OhioRedMedium
.Knox County, OhioRedMedium
.Lake County, OhioRedLow
.Lawrence County, OhioRedMedium
.Licking County, OhioRedMedium
.Logan County, OhioRedMedium
.Lorain County, OhioBlueLow
.Lucas County, OhioBlueLow
.Madison County, OhioRedMedium
.Mahoning County, OhioBlueLow
.Marion County, OhioRedMedium
.Medina County, OhioRedLow
.Meigs County, OhioRedMedium
.Mercer County, OhioRedMedium
.Miami County, OhioRedHigh
.Monroe County, OhioRedMedium
.Montgomery County, OhioRedLow
.Morgan County, OhioRedMedium
.Morrow County, OhioRedMedium
.Muskingum County, OhioRedMedium
.Noble County, OhioRedMedium
.Ottawa County, OhioRedLow
.Paulding County, OhioRedMedium
.Perry County, OhioRedMedium
.Pickaway County, OhioRedMedium
.Pike County, OhioRedMedium
.Portage County, OhioRedLow
.Preble County, OhioRedMedium
.Putnam County, OhioRedMedium
.Richland County, OhioRedMedium
.Ross County, OhioRedMedium
.Sandusky County, OhioRedLow
.Scioto County, OhioRedMedium
.Seneca County, OhioRedMedium
.Shelby County, OhioRedMedium
.Stark County, OhioRedLow
.Summit County, OhioBlueLow
.Trumbull County, OhioRedLow
.Tuscarawas County, OhioRedMedium
.Union County, OhioRedMedium
.Van Wert County, OhioRedMedium
.Vinton County, OhioRedMedium
.Warren County, OhioRedMedium
.Washington County, OhioRedMedium
.Wayne County, OhioRedMedium
.Williams County, OhioRedMedium
.Wood County, OhioRedLow
.Wyandot County, OhioRedMedium

More to come…

James Hatch

I talk about business, technology, and society. I create new products and services. That's the elevator pitch. Deeper than that, I research myriad topics for my consultancy. Academically speaking; I have received a Masters in Digital Forensics and Cyber Investigation, Masters in Information Technology with a focus on Information Security, a Masters in Business Administration with a focus on Marketing, a Bachelors in Entrepreneurism and Strategic Management, Associates in Business Administration, and Associates in Sociology. I'm also a Professor and Program Manager of Computer Science and Cybersecurity at the local Community College. Oh... I'm a gamer and streamer when I get a chance.

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